How is the Mortality Rate for Ebola Calculated?

Check out the “Statistical Measures section of this wikipedia article”: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E…

“On 23 September, the WHO released a revised and far more accurate CFR of 70%, derived using data from patients with definitive clinical outcomes.”

The wikipedia article points to this source:http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/1…
Which says: “we estimate that the case fatality rate is 70.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 69 to 73)”

So they’re VERY confident that the current fatality rate is between 69 and 73 percent (70.8% average).

10-12-2014 Updates

Texas has 1 More confirmed Ebola Case: http://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2014/s1012-texas-health-care-worker.html

Boston, Massachusets has 1 Unconfirmed Case of Ebola:  http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/boston-area-clinic-quarantined-after-patient-displays-ebola-signs-paper/ar-BB8VXtb?ocid=ansnewsreu11

Texas case has been added.

Map maintenance has been done. Only current cases are now showing. Let’s pray we don’t get more !

10-11-2014 Updates

Death Toll rises to 4024 : http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2014/10/11/355353977/ebola-deaths-top-4-000-cdc-screening-begins-at-new-york-s-jfk-airport

No Ebola in Australia: http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-national/qld-health-extremely-cautious-on-ebola-20141010-3hoao.html

Macedonia Case is not Ebola, it’s Binge Drinking: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2789262/british-ebola-victim-macedonia-did-not-disease-died-massive-drinking-binge-health-officials-say.html

Don’t Joke Around About Ebola

This video shows why you should take Ebola very seriously. Because of the nature of the disease, Ebola is not taken lightly, especially on an aircraft…

Utah Case Negative, 2 Suspected Cases in Virginia, 1 Suspected Case in Sarasota, FL

Just updated the map.

Utah Case is negative http://fox13now.com/2014/10/03/primary-childrens-hospital-confirms-patient-does-not-have-ebola/ 

2 new suspected cases in Richmond, Virginia http://www.nbc12.com/story/26700701/2-va-patients-tested-for-ebola-tests-likely-negative

1 Suspected Case in Sarasota, FL http://www.mysuncoast.com/news/local/sarasota-patient-tested-for-ebola-friday/article_5237e2b0-4b57-11e4-8477-0017a43b2370.html

Thank you for everybody’s feedback and participation on this thread. This is very helpful to have feedback !

Two Patients Quarantined In Kentucky With Ebola-Like Symptoms Cleared, Released

Two patients have been quarantined with Ebola-like symptoms. They have since been released from the hospital and have tested negative.

Georgia Inmate being Tested for Ebola

Added a new potential case in Cobb County, GA. An inmate recently traveled to Africa, and was charged with a DUI, has been developing a fever while in custody. Hopefully this is just a result of the legal circumstances he was facing, and not Ebola. More to come.

 

UPDATE 1:53PM MST: Cobb county inmate tested negative for Ebola: http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/cobb-co-jail-inmate-being-tested-ebola/nhbYB/

Ebola Symptoms

Symptoms of Ebola

From Mayo Clinic

Signs and Ebola symptoms typically begin abruptly within five to 10 days of infection with Ebola or Marburg virus.

Early signs and symptoms include:

  • Fever
  • Severe headache
  • Joint and muscle aches
  • Chills
  • Weakness
  • Hiccups

Over time, symptoms become increasingly severe and may include:

  • Nausea and vomiting
  • Diarrhea (may be bloody)
  • Red eyes
  • Raised rash
  • Chest pain and cough
  • Stomach pain
  • Severe weight loss
  • Bleeding, usually from the eyes, and bruising (people near death may bleed from other orifices, such as ears, nose and rectum)
  • Internal bleeding